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林业资源管理 ›› 2015›› Issue (2): 55-63.doi: 10.13466/j.cnki.lyzygl.2015.02.012

• 研究与检讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于因子分析法的我国森林碳汇潜力评价

续珊珊   

  1. 云南财经大学财政与经济学院,云南 昆明 650221
  • 修回日期:2015-04-17 出版日期:2015-04-28 发布日期:2021-01-12
  • 作者简介:续珊珊(1983-),女,山东济宁人,博士,副教授,硕导,主要从事林业经济理论与政策方面的研究工作。Email:xushanshan8303@163.com

Evaluation of Forest Carbon Sequestration Potential in China Based on Factor Analysis

XU Shanshan   

  1. School of Public Finance and Economics , Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, Yunnan, 650221
  • Revised:2015-04-17 Online:2015-04-28 Published:2021-01-12

摘要: 选取林地面积、森林面积、造林面积、病虫鼠害防治面积等原有变量,采用因子分析法评价我国森林碳汇发展潜力,结果显示:森林资源总量因子是影响森林碳汇潜力最重要的因素,其次分别是森林生态建设因子、林业产业发展与投资因子以及森林灾害防治与气候因子。根据综合得分将全国31个省市区的森林碳汇发展潜力分为5个梯度,据此提出提高森林碳汇潜力的建议。

关键词: 森林碳储量, 森林碳汇, 潜力, 因子分析

Abstract: The author selected 14 original variables such as woodland area , forest area , afforestation area , controlling area of forest diseases, pests and forest rats and so on to evaluate forest carbon sequestration potential in China with the method of factor analysis. The author drawls the conclusion:he amount of forest resources is the most important factor that influences forest carbon sequestration potential, which is fol lwed by forest ecological construction factor, forestry industry development and investment factor, forest disasters prevention, control and climate factor. The 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions are divided into five gradients according to the comprehensive score of forest carbon sequestration development potential. As a result, the author puts forward corresponding measures to improve forest carbon sequestration potential.

Key words: forest carbon storage, forest carbon sequestration, potential, factor analysis

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