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林业资源管理 ›› 2009›› Issue (4): 92-97.

• 科学技术 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于模糊综合评价法的桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险评估研究

彭伟, 张旭, 于新文, 刘燕   

  1. 中国林业科学研究院 资源信息研究所,北京 100091
  • 收稿日期:2009-02-23 修回日期:2009-04-09 出版日期:2009-08-28 发布日期:2020-12-16
  • 通讯作者: 张旭(1964-),广东梅县人,研究员,硕士,主要研究方向:森林经理学与网络技术应用。Email:zhangxu@caf.ac.cn
  • 作者简介:彭伟(1978-),内蒙古磴口人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向:森林经理学与网络技术应用。Email:penter@caf.ac.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家“十一五”科技支撑项目专题“桉树培育、经营决策支持系统的研究与开发”(2006BAD10A03-4)

Study on A Method of Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation of Leptocybe invasa's Disaster Risk

PENG Wei, ZHANG Xu, YU Xinwen, LIU Yan   

  1. Research Institute of Forest Resources Information Techniques, CAF Beijing 100091,China
  • Received:2009-02-23 Revised:2009-04-09 Online:2009-08-28 Published:2020-12-16

摘要: 为满足决策支持系统对桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险评估及获取量化结果的需要,根据已知桉树枝瘿姬小蜂生物学性状和传播规律,建立了桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险模糊评价体系,提出了基于模糊综合评价的虫害风险评估方法。利用该方法对广西黄冕林场一新增桉树项目进行了虫害风险评估,并分析了不同虫害预防措施的效果,所得结果与事实吻合。这表明,该方法是一种有效的桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险评估方法。

关键词: 模糊综合评价, 风险评估, 桉树枝瘿姬小蜂, 黄冕林场, 决策支持系统

Abstract: Aiming at risk assessment of Leptocybe invasa disaster and producing quantitative conclusion in DSS for Fast-growing plantation of eucalypt project, a system of comprehensive evaluation is built which is based on the study of biological characters and diffusion rules, and a method of comprehensive fuzzy evaluation is proposed. The conclusions meet facts well when using the method for risk assessment and analysis for effect of different measures of preventing pest disaster to a new project in Huangmian Forest Farm. It indicates that the method is effective for risk assessment of Leptocybe invasa disaster.

Key words: fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, risk assessment, Leptocybe invasa, Huangmian plantations, DSS

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