Risk Assessment of Forest Fire Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic

doi:10.13466/j.cnki.lyzygl.2020.01.024

Abstract

Abstract:

Forest fires have the characteristics of wide distribution,high frequency and strong uncertainty.The assessment of forest fire risk can provide references for effective prevention and control of forest fires and reduction of losses.The evaluation index system of forest fire risk is constructed from three dimensions of meteorology,terrain and combustibles.It is the first time to introduce hesitant fuzzy linguistic description,which improves the flexibility of expert language evaluation expression.Through the hesitant fuzzy linguistic hybrid weighed aggregation operator,to aggregate the linguistic information,then get the probability of fire risk in a certain area.This method has been applied to an over fire area of Daxinganling forest to assess the risk of forest fire in this area,and this case proves the feasibility and effectiveness of this method.

Key words: forest fire risk, hesitant fuzzy linguistic, hesitant fuzzy linguistic hybrid weighted aggregation operators

CLC Number:

S726

Xiangyu LUO, Zongmin LI. Risk Assessment of Forest Fire Based on Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic[J]. FOREST RESOURCES WANAGEMENT, 2020, (1): 183-190.

Figures/Tables 2

References 38

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目标层	子系统层c_i	指标层c_ij
森林火灾发生风险	c₁地形因子	c₁₁ 海拔
		c₁₂ 坡向
		c₁₃ 坡度
		c₁₄坡位
		c₁₄坡位	c₂气象因子	c₂₁ 气温
	c₂₂ 相对湿度
	c₂₃ 降水因子
	c₂₄ 风力
	c₃可燃物因子	c₃₁ 植被种类
		c₃₂ 主要植被树龄
		c₃₃ 植被郁闭度

指标c_i_,_j	评价值s_i_,_j	指标c_i_,_j	评价值s_i_,_j	指标c_i_,_j	评价值s_i_,_j
c_1,1	s₂,s₃,s₄	c_2,1	s₅,s₆,s₇	c_3,1	s₆,s₇
c_1,2	s₅,s₆,s₇	c_2,2	s₆,s₇	c_3,2	s₃,s₄,s₅,s₆
c_1,3	s₄,s₅,s₆	c_2,3	s₅,s₆,s₇	c_3,3	s₅,s₆,s₇
c_1,4	s₄,s₅,s₆,s₇	c_2,4	s₄,s₅,s₆,s₇	-	-